MIMR
The Science of Improvement
Measure4 min read

The Faster Horse Problem

Why humans are surprisingly bad at imagining what would make their lives better.

There's a famous saying attributed to Henry Ford:

"If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses."

It's a perfect line. It's also probably not his. Researchers have found no record of Ford saying it, and the earliest versions don't appear in print until more than fifty years after his death. Even The Henry Ford museum treats the attribution as uncertain.

But the idea has survived for a reason. It captures something true about people: we're usually good at knowing what we want to improve, and surprisingly bad at imagining how.

The horse was never the point

Nobody in 1900 actually wanted a horse. They wanted to get places faster, more comfortably, and more reliably. The horse was simply the best solution they could picture.

Ask people what they want, and they'll describe a better version of what they already know. A faster horse. A bigger inbox. A cheaper gym membership.

That's not a failure of intelligence. It's a limit of imagination. We don't always know what we want because we don't know what's possible.

We're bad at predicting what will make us happier

Psychologists have studied this for decades, under the name affective forecasting: our ability to predict how future changes will make us feel.

The short version: we're not very good at it.

In one well-known study, psychologists David Schkade and Daniel Kahneman asked students in the Midwest and in Southern California how satisfied they were with their lives, and how satisfied they thought students in the other region were. Both groups predicted Californians would be happier. Sunshine, beaches, better weather.

In reality, life satisfaction in the two groups was about the same.

The researchers called this the focusing illusion: when we think about one factor, like the weather, it seems far more important than it really is. As Kahneman put it, nothing in life is as important as you think it is while you're thinking about it.

The same thing happens with our health. We fixate on one visible number and assume it's the key to feeling better.

What you want vs. what you're trying to get

Business researchers have a useful way to frame this. Harvard's Clayton Christensen argued that customers don't really buy products. They "hire" them to make progress on something in their lives.

Nobody wants a drill. They want a hole in the wall. Nobody wants a horse. They want to get there faster.

So the better question isn't "what do you want?" It's "what are you actually trying to change?"

The MIMR connection

Most corporate wellness programs start by asking employees which services they'd like: a meditation app, a gym stipend, a yoga class. Those are reasonable answers. They're also faster horses.

MIMR starts with a different question: what improvement are you actually looking for? More energy in the afternoon? Less tension during the workday? Bouncing back faster after a hard week?

Then we measure.

A baseline across cardiovascular health, strength, recovery, and cognition often shows people things they'd never have thought to ask for. Someone who came in focused on one number discovers that their recovery is where the real opportunity is. Someone who assumed they needed more exercise finds that a few minutes of guided breathing changes how their heart responds to stress.

And because every 90-day cycle ends with a re-measurement, people don't have to guess whether something worked. They can see it. That's the whole point of measuring outcomes instead of offering more of the same services: it helps people discover possibilities they didn't know to ask for.

Try this

Ask "why" twice. Take one health goal and ask why you want it. Then ask why again. The second answer is usually closer to what you're really after.

Describe the destination, not the vehicle. Instead of "I want to go to the gym more," try "I want to have energy left at the end of the day." Then look for more than one way to get there.

Measure more than one thing. If you only track one number, it will feel like the only thing that matters.

The takeaway

You might think you want to lose 10 pounds.

But maybe what you really want is to keep up with your kids, sleep through the night, or stop feeling drained by 3 p.m.

Weight was the horse. Feeling better was the destination.

Sources

  1. O'Toole, G. (2011). My customers would have asked for a faster horse. Quote Investigator. https://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/07/28/ford-faster-horse/
  2. The Henry Ford. Henry Ford's quotations. https://www.thehenryford.org/collections/explore/articles/henry-fords-quotations
  3. Schkade, D. A., & Kahneman, D. (1998). Does living in California make people happy? A focusing illusion in judgments of life satisfaction. Psychological Science, 9(5), 340–346.
  4. Wilson, T. D., & Gilbert, D. T. (2005). Affective forecasting: Knowing what to want. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 14(3), 131–134.
  5. Christensen, C. M., Hall, T., Dillon, K., & Duncan, D. S. (2016). Know your customers' "jobs to be done." Harvard Business Review, 94(9), 54–62.

Measure. Improve. Measure. Reward.

That loop is the whole idea. The Science of Improvement is just us showing our work.

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